NEW DELHI: The Gujarat elections could be a dead heat between BJP and Congress with the former just scraping through to a win, according to an opinion poll released on Monday. The poll predicted that both parties would get 43% of the votes but BJP could win between 91 and 99 seats in the 182-member assembly while Congress would have to settle for between 78 and 86 seats.
The latest projections are a remarkable turnaround from the 30-point lead for BJP projected by a poll done by the same agencies in August. At that time, the seat projections were that BJP could cross the 150 mark while Congress would struggle to cross 30. BJP won 115 seats in the 2012 assembly polls while Congress won 61. However, thanks to desertions from its ranks, Congress had just 43 MLAs in the outgoing assembly, BJP 116 and others 5 with 18 seats vacant.The Lokniti-CSDS poll done for ABP News indicated that the sentiment against both demonetisation and GST has hardened as the campaign has progressed and even the changes made to GST rates last month left more people dissatisfied than satisfied.Farmer resentment is also playing an important role in fuelling the rise of Congress in the state, according to the poll.